Good afternoon! Today's stories share one thread: money moving out of your control before you've made a single decision, whether that's inflation and trade tension pushing prices up, a data breach putting your name on a list you never agreed to join, or "fixed" retirement costs that were never really fixed at all. None of it is something you caused. All of it is something you can still act on.

On The Money Today:

  • Why rising oil prices and a stalled trade fight could quietly reshape your budget

  • What a driver's licence data breach means for you

  • The retirement costs that feel fixed but aren't

Let's dive in.

INVESTING

Inflation just hit 3%, and Tiff Macklem says two forces are pulling in opposite directions — here's what it means for your mortgage and savings

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem just admitted the usual playbook doesn't have a clean answer this time: stalled trade talks are slowing growth while an oil-driven inflation spike keeps prices elevated. Consumer prices are now running near 3%, well above the Bank's 2% target, largely because oil is trading nearly $40 above where the fundamentals say it should.

For anyone with a mortgage renewal coming up, a fixed income or a budget that's already stretched, that combination changes the math. Here's what to watch depending on where you are in your financial life.

IN PARTNERSHIP WITH Homewise

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Young family with two kids having fun in front of there house. Porch is decorated with autumnal flowers and pumpkins.

Wealthy Canadians don't avoid debt, they put it to work on assets that grow in value — and a mortgage is the clearest example, building equity over time instead of losing value like a car or a gadget. But that payoff depends heavily on the rate you lock in from day one.

Homewise's free 5-minute application compares offers from over 30 lenders, so you can find a competitive rate whether you're a first-time buyer or renewing an existing mortgage. Locking in now could potentially save you hundreds of dollars every month down the line.

NEWS

153 million driver's licences were exposed in an IDScan.net breach. See what to check if you've ever had your ID scanned

If you've had your licence scanned at a bar, club or age-gated retailer, this is worth a look. Canada's privacy commissioner has opened an investigation after the records surfaced on the dark web, and the exposure covers years of scans most people forgot ever happened.

These ID-scanning systems are marketed to venues as a fraud and age-verification tool, but the breach shows how much personal data — including licence numbers, photos and birthdates — can pile up in one place with little oversight over how long it's kept or how well it's protected. Find out if you were part of it and the steps worth taking now if you were.

MUST READ

7 costs Canadian retirees can safely cut to free up cash flow and none of them mean giving up your lifestyle

Retirement budgets often carry habits built up during your working years: the car payment, the cottage upkeep, a subscription list nobody's trimmed in ages. Financial experts say a handful of these costs can be scaled back without much sacrifice, freeing up real money every month.

Owning a car alone now runs close to $1,373 a month once financing, fuel, insurance and depreciation are factored in, and a lot of retirees are still carrying a second vehicle or a vacation property built around a work schedule they no longer have. Even financially supporting adult children is a bigger drain than most retirees admit to. Here's where retirees tend to have the most room to cut, and how to do it without touching the parts of retirement you actually enjoy.

MONEY IQ

What's the average total monthly cost of owning and financing a car in Canada in 2026, once fuel, insurance and depreciation are included?

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ALSO MAKING THE ROUNDS TODAY

ECONOMY: The loonie just sank to 71 cents. Here's what it adds to your winter trip south

ECONOMY: A Bay Street strategist says Canada should be one of the wealthiest nations: What's holding your wallet back?

INVESTING: Mutual fund exit fees are banned starting October 1, but some Canadians will still pay

ECONOMY: Trump wants to ban U.S. diesel exports. Here's why it could cost Eastern Canadians more to heat their homes this winter

MONEY IQ: HOW'D YOU DO?

Young woman driver.

Answer: C) — About $1,373 a month, which is why cutting back on a second vehicle is one of the biggest cash-flow wins for retirees.

That's a wrap for today! Before you go, we'd love to know what you thought of today's newsletter. Hit REPLY if you have more to share — we read every reply.

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Today’s newsletter was written by Amy Tokic, edited by Shirley Sze and Rudro Chakrabarti. Stories by David Saric, Romana King, Eric Esposito, Leslie Kennedy and Amy Tokic.